Despite having already secured the league title last time out, Ajax will be keen to sign off their season in style, and we are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Ajax
18.36% ( -0.2)	21.04% ( -0.05)	60.59% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 55.28% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.41% (

-0.08)

41.58% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.01% (

-0.08)

63.98% (

0.07)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.75% (

-0.27)

36.24% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

-0.27)

73.02% (

0.27)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.7% (

0.05)

13.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.88% (

0.1)

40.11% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 18.36%

Ajax 60.59%

Draw 21.04%

Vitesse	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 18.36%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.04%	1-2 @ 9.96% 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.59%