SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Taawoun | Draw | Al-Nassr |
29.06% ( -0.07) | 22.27% ( 0.06) | 48.67% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.72% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.7% ( -0.34) | 35.3% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.67% ( -0.38) | 57.32% ( 0.38) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( -0.22) | 23.92% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( -0.31) | 58.14% ( 0.32) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( -0.12) | 14.93% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.67% ( -0.23) | 43.33% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Taawoun | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 48.67% |
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