Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 72.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Lusitano Evora 1911 had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Lusitano Evora 1911 win it was 1-2 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.02) 
