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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
A

Al Riyadh
2 - 2
Al-Nassr

Gray (26'), Saleh (45+1')
N'Dong (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Otavio (15'), Al Nemer (90+7')
Telles (45+10'), Telles (50')
Laporte (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Hazem 1-1 Al Riyadh
Saturday, May 18 at 5.20pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-1 Al-Hilal
Friday, May 17 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Riyadh 1-3 Al-Nassr

The hosts have shown over the last few weeks that they are not willing to return to the second tier without a fight, but it is difficult to see them take anything from this match against the Riyadh giants. Al Nassr will need to maintain momentum until the King's Cup final at the end of the month, and we feel they will secure a comfortable victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 9.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.02%) and 0-3 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Nassr
9.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01) 15.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 74.65% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (0.021999999999998 0.02)38.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (0.022000000000006 0.02)60.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.76% (0.023000000000003 0.02)47.24% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.33% (0.02 0.02)82.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.92% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Riyadh 9.49%
    Al-Nassr 74.63%
    Draw 15.86%
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 2.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-0 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 9.49%
1-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 15.86%
0-2 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 9.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.19%
1-3 @ 7.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 6.09%
1-4 @ 4.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 2.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-6 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-6 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 74.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Hazem 1-1 Al Riyadh
Saturday, May 18 at 5.20pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-0 Al-Taawoun
Thursday, May 9 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 2-2 Al Riyadh
Thursday, May 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 2-1 Al-Ahli
Thursday, April 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-2 Al Tai
Friday, April 19 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Riyadh
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-1 Al-Hilal
Friday, May 17 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 2-3 Al-Nassr
Thursday, May 9 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 6-0 Al Wahda
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-1 Al-Nassr
Saturday, April 27 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Fayha
Friday, April 19 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League


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