The hosts have shown over the last few weeks that they are not willing to return to the second tier without a fight, but it is difficult to see them take anything from this match against the Riyadh giants.
Al Nassr will need to maintain momentum until the King's Cup final at the end of the month, and we feel they will secure a comfortable victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.02%) and 0-3 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
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