SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 0-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a SC Farense win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Al-Nassr |
20.11% ( 0.05) | 20.94% ( 0.01) | 58.96% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.62% ( 0.02) | 38.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.34% ( 0.02) | 60.67% ( -0.02) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( 0.06) | 32.56% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.91% ( 0.06) | 69.1% ( -0.06) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.25% ( -0.01) | 12.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.98% ( -0.02) | 39.02% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.11% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.49% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.81% Total : 58.96% |
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