SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 3-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for an Al-Nassr win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Al-Nassr |
64.31% ( 0.01) | 18.77% ( -0.01) | 16.92% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 60.63% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.73% ( 0.06) | 33.27% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.97% ( 0.06) | 55.03% ( -0.06) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.18% ( 0.02) | 9.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.4% ( 0.05) | 32.59% ( -0.04) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% ( 0.04) | 32.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.66% ( 0.04) | 69.33% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 4.55% Total : 64.31% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.77% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)0-2 @ 2% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 16.92% |
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