Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Ajax |
25.34% ( 0.01) | 21.66% ( 0.01) | 52.99% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.57% ( -0.05) | 35.42% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.54% ( -0.05) | 57.46% ( 0.05) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% ( -0.02) | 26.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% ( -0.02) | 61.68% ( 0.02) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% ( -0.03) | 13.56% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.33% ( -0.05) | 40.66% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.34% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.99% |
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