SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | Ajax |
30.2% ( -0.05) | 22.79% ( 0.02) | 47.01% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.59% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.89% ( -0.1) | 37.11% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.69% ( -0.11) | 59.31% ( 0.11) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -0.08) | 24.12% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( -0.12) | 58.42% ( 0.12) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( -0.02) | 16.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% ( -0.04) | 45.68% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anderlecht | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.2% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.01% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
