Augsburg are likely to be relying on results elsewhere when it comes to their Bundesliga status, as we are predicting Monchengladbach to win here. The visitors will be missing a whole host of first-team players, and we are finding it tough to back them to pick up a positive result on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Monchengladbach.
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