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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
UB

Augsburg
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Beljo (53')
Engels (11'), Gouweleeuw (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Laidouni (64'), Jaeckel (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 0-1 Union Berlin

With Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund still in sight, we expect Union Berlin to notch a narrow victory over struggling Augsburg, who look set to slide deeper into relegation danger. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
31.37% (0.99 0.99) 27.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 40.72% (-0.935 -0.94)
Both teams to score 47.29% (0.513 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.48% (0.471 0.47)58.53% (-0.467 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.9% (0.367 0.37)79.1% (-0.363 -0.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (0.98100000000001 0.98)34.13% (-0.977 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (1.039 1.04)70.82% (-1.036 -1.04)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (-0.292 -0.29)28.2% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (-0.375 -0.38)63.9% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 31.37%
    Union Berlin 40.71%
    Draw 27.9%
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.37%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.63% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 12.18% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 40.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Stuttgart
Friday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Augsburg
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Augsburg
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Schalke
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 23 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 VfL Bochum
Sunday, April 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Union Berlin
Tuesday, April 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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