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Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
A

FC Twente
3 - 1
Ajax

Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-5 FC Twente
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 0-2 Ajax

While Twente have nothing to play for, Ajax's European ambitions potentially hinge on Sunday's result. Heitinga's side cannot afford a slip-up this weekend and we fancy them to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAjax
39.07%23.41%37.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 63.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.08% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.82% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)51.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.0039999999999907 0)20.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)53.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 39.07%
    Ajax 37.52%
    Draw 23.41%
FC TwenteDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.44%
1-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 39.07%
1-1 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 6.68%
0-0 @ 4.06%
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 37.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-5 FC Twente
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 4-0 Nijmegen
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-3 FC Twente
Sunday, May 7 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-3 Sparta
Sunday, April 23 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 4-0 Cambuur
Sunday, April 9 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Ajax
Tuesday, May 16 at 2pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-0 AZ
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PSV 3-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Emmen
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie


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