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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 38.97% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.96%) and 3-2 (4.84%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Celtic |
40.14% ( 1.43) | 20.89% ( -0.07) | 38.97% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 73.98% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0.39) | 24.79% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.36% ( 0.51) | 44.64% ( -0.5) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.23% ( 0.69) | 13.78% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.92% ( 1.34) | 41.09% ( -1.34) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( -0.32) | 14.2% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.08% ( -0.64) | 41.92% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 3.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.12)4-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 3% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 7.32% ( 0)3-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.89% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 38.97% |
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