SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
51.45% ( -1.69) | 22.23% ( 0.13) | 26.32% ( 1.56) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.76% ( 0.84) | 37.24% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( 0.9) | 59.44% ( -0.9) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( -0.26) | 14.69% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.13% ( -0.5) | 42.87% ( 0.5) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( 1.6) | 26.75% ( -1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.98% ( 2.07) | 62.03% ( -2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.24% Total : 51.45% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.32% |
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