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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.79%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Celtic |
46.88% ( 0.64) | 21.43% ( 0.32) | 31.68% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 69.66% ( -1.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.46% ( -2.09) | 29.54% ( 2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.36% ( -2.58) | 50.64% ( 2.58) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.58) | 13.39% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.68% ( -1.17) | 40.32% ( 1.18) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( -1.49) | 19.57% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.51% ( -2.49) | 51.49% ( 2.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.41)1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.51)3-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.06)4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.13% Total : 46.88% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.14)3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.21% Total : 31.68% |
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