Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
