Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 7.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Watford |
77.69% (![]() | 14.44% (![]() | 7.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.05% (![]() | 36.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.86% (![]() | 59.14% |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.26% (![]() | 7.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.45% | 27.55% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.93% (![]() | 50.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.29% (![]() | 84.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Watford |
2-0 @ 12.68% 3-0 @ 10.82% 1-0 @ 9.92% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 7.49% 4-0 @ 6.92% 4-1 @ 4.79% 5-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.66% 6-0 @ 1.51% 6-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.51% Total : 77.69% | 1-1 @ 6.86% 0-0 @ 3.88% 2-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.67% Total : 14.44% | 0-1 @ 2.68% 1-2 @ 2.37% 0-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.88% Total : 7.87% |
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