SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Chelsea |
36.37% ( -0.7) | 24.2% ( 0.21) | 39.42% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.63% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.07% ( -1.07) | 41.93% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.67% ( -1.09) | 64.33% ( 1.09) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( -0.85) | 22.9% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( -1.26) | 56.66% ( 1.27) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( -0.23) | 21.36% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( -0.36) | 54.34% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.37% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.42% |
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