SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.05%) and 0-1 (4.89%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Lyon |
37.23% ( 2.49) | 21.77% ( -0.45) | 41% ( -2.04) |
| Both teams to score 70.21% ( 2.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.47% ( 2.79) | 29.53% ( -2.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.37% ( 3.32) | 50.62% ( -3.32) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 2.39) | 16.96% ( -2.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.95% ( 4.08) | 47.05% ( -4.08) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( 0.36) | 15.44% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.71% ( 0.67) | 44.29% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.31)4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.34% Total : 37.23% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.29)0-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.44)Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.21)0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.75)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.64)2-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.36)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.15)3-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.15)Other @ 4.04% Total : 41% |
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