It is nigh-on impossible to predict what to expect from this Lyon side on a daily basis, but a Gones outfit boosted by a couple of returning players are capable of troubling a fatigued and rotated Marseille crop. Bosz's side have struggled to win games away from home all season, but Marseille did not cover themselves in glory defensively on Thursday, and we can picture an entertaining derby ending with a share of the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lyon
45.52%	24.87%	29.61%

Both teams to score 55.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.9%

47.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67%

69.34%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26%

20.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.63%

53.37%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5%

29.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49%

65.51%

Score Analysis

Marseille 45.52%

Lyon 29.61%

Draw 24.87%

Marseille	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.52%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.34% Total : 29.61%