SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Twente |
56.86% ( -0.38) | 21.66% ( 0.35) | 21.48% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.51% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.18% ( -1.62) | 39.81% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.82% ( -1.7) | 62.17% ( 1.7) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( -0.65) | 13.85% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.77% ( -1.3) | 41.22% ( 1.29) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.9) | 32.08% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( -1.04) | 68.55% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.34% Total : 56.86% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 21.48% |
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