MX23RW : Wednesday, May 25 07:16:39
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May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK at Stade de Gerland
Lyon
3 - 2
Nantes
Dembele (9'), Paqueta (78'), Tete (85')
Ndombele (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Merlin (81'), Cyprien (90+2')
Kombouare (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawNantes
65.48% (0.027999999999992 0.03) 19.21% (-0.012 -0.01) 15.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03)38.74% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.05% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.93% (0.016999999999996 0.02)11.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.56% (0.031999999999996 0.03)35.44% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85%38.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 65.48%
    Nantes 15.3%
    Draw 19.21%
LyonDrawNantes
2-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.5% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 7.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 65.48%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.21%
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 15.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Metz 3-2 Lyon
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 Lyon
Sunday, May 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 5-2 Montpellier
Saturday, April 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Lyon
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 6-1 Bordeaux
Sunday, April 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-3 West Ham
Thursday, April 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, May 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 7 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Nantes
Saturday, April 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Bordeaux
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-2 Nantes
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Angers
Sunday, April 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG38268490365486
2Marseille38218963382571
3MonacoMonaco38209965402569
4Rennes382061282404266
5Nice382071152361666
6StrasbourgStrasbourg381712960431763
7Lens3817111062481462
8Lyon3817111066511561
9NantesNantes381510135548755
10Lille381413114848055
11Brest38139164957-848
12Reims381113144344-146
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier38127194961-1243
14Angers381011174455-1141
15Troyes38911183753-1638
16Lorient38812183563-2836
17Clermont3899203869-3136
18Saint-EtienneSt Etienne38711204277-3532
19Metz38613193569-3431
20Bordeaux38613195291-3931
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Ligue 2 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Ajaccio38229739192075
3Auxerre382111661392274
4Paris FCParis FC382010854351970
5Sochaux381911847341368
6GuingampGuingamp381513105248458
7Caen381311145142950
8Le HavreLe Havre381311143841-350
9Nimes38147174451-749
10PauPau38147174149-849
11Dijon38138174853-547
12Bastia381016123836246
13NiortNiort381210163942-346
14AmiensAmiens38917124341244
15Grenoble38128183244-1244
16Valenciennes381014143447-1344
17Rodez AFRodez AF381013153242-1043
18Quevilly381010183350-1740
RDunkerqueDunkerque3887232853-2531
RNancy3869233269-3727
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