SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | MVV Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.87%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | NAC Breda |
56.65% ( 0.45) | 20.31% ( -0) | 23.03% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 65.78% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.68% ( -0.53) | 31.31% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.24% ( -0.62) | 52.76% ( 0.62) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.84% ( -0.05) | 11.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.38% ( -0.1) | 35.62% ( 0.1) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% ( -0.64) | 25.96% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.03% ( -0.87) | 60.97% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.31% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.13% Total : 23.03% |
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