Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
