Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 55.72%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	NAC Breda
55.72%	21.03%	23.25%

Both teams to score 63.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.42%

34.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.48%

56.52%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.54%

12.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.58%

38.42%

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84%

63.16%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 55.72%

NAC Breda 23.25%

Draw 21.03%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 7.46% 1-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.67% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 3.47% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 0.96% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.49% Total : 55.72%	1-1 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.03%	1-2 @ 5.93% 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.62% Total : 23.25%