Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 55.72%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
