Friendlies

Jul 19, 2022 at 11.10am UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
3 - 1
Crystal Palace

Martial (17'), Rashford (48'), Sancho (59')
Fish (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ward (74')
Phillips (45+4'), Ayew (57')

Van de Beek insists Man United still have room for improvement

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's pre-season clash between Manchester United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester United could line up in Tuesday's pre-season friendly with Crystal Palace.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

Last Six:

Last Game: Victory 1-4 Man Utd
Friday, July 15 at 11.05am in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Manchester City	0	0	0
14	Manchester United	0	0	0
15	Newcastle United	0	0	0

Crystal Palace

Last Six:

Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-2 Ipswich
Saturday, July 16 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Chelsea	0	0	0
7	Crystal Palace	0	0	0
8	Everton	0	0	0

We said: Manchester United 3-1 Crystal Palace

Man United have been impressive in their opening two friendlies of the summer, and the Red Devils will fancy their chances of beating an understrength Palace on Tuesday. Palace's second-half XI is likely to be a team of youngsters, and we are expecting Ten Hag's side to be too strong here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Crystal Palace
56.99% ( 0.25)	22.3% ( -0.42)	20.7% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 55.09% (

1.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.21% (

2.07)

43.79% (

-2.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.82% (

66.18% (

-2)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.86% (

0.8)

15.14% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.27% (

1.49)

43.73% (

-1.49)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.92% (

1.35)

35.08% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.17% (

1.39)

71.83% (

-1.39)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 56.98%

Crystal Palace 20.7%

Draw 22.3%

Manchester United	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.64) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.98%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.3%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.7%