SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
| 7 | West Ham United | 38 | 9 | 56 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester United |
46.88% ( 0.24) | 24.18% ( -0.02) | 28.94% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( -0.03) | 44.41% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.22% ( -0.03) | 66.78% ( 0.03) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( 0.09) | 19.08% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.32% ( 0.15) | 50.68% ( -0.14) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( -0.17) | 28.61% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( -0.21) | 64.41% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 46.89% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.94% |
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