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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
Selhurst Park
MU

Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Man Utd

Zaha (37')
Hughes (43'), Edouard (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mejbri (44'), Dalot (59'), Lindelof (84'), Fernandes (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawManchester United
46.88% (0.241 0.24) 24.18% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 28.94% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)44.41% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)66.78% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.091000000000008 0.09)19.08% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (0.147 0.15)50.68% (-0.143 -0.14)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)28.61% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (-0.206 -0.21)64.41% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 46.89%
    Manchester United 28.94%
    Draw 24.17%
Crystal PalaceDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 46.89%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Everton 3-2 Crystal Palace
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Watford
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds
Monday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Man Utd
Saturday, May 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Brentford
Monday, May 2 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Chelsea
Thursday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Man Utd
Saturday, April 23 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Man Utd
Tuesday, April 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Norwich
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Premier League


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