Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.