Premier League | Gameweek 15

Dec 5, 2021 at 2pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Fred (77')
McTominay (81'), Lindelof (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Clyne (31'), Guehi (67')

Fernandes details what Rangnick wants from Man United players

Fred reacts to netting winning goal for Manchester United

Ralf Rangnick delighted with clean sheet against Crystal Palace

Rangnick "happy" with Man United's performance against Palace

Rangnick hails Ronaldo's off-the-ball work against Palace

Rangnick explains absence of Martial, Lingard against Palace

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Crystal Palace
58.21%	22.88%	18.9%

Both teams to score 50.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.28%

48.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.17%

70.82%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.56%

16.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.88%

46.11%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18%

39.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.51%

76.48%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 58.2%

Crystal Palace 18.9%

Draw 22.88%

Manchester United	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.81% 2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 5.91% 4-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.05% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.04% Total : 58.2%	1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.88%	0-1 @ 6.03% 1-2 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.9%