SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Newcastle United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Manchester United |
38.57% ( 1.51) | 24.94% ( -0.08) | 36.49% ( -1.43) |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( 0.32) | 45.4% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( 0.3) | 67.74% ( -0.3) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( 0.94) | 23.32% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% ( 1.35) | 57.27% ( -1.35) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( -0.63) | 24.43% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.14% ( -0.89) | 58.86% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.49% |
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