Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
