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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
S

Marseille
4 - 0
Strasbourg

Gerson (32', 89'), Under (73'), Bakambu (90+2')
Caleta-Car (34'), Gueye (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sissoko (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg

Marseille's levels of creative ingenuity and attacking incisiveness decrease dramatically when Payet is not on the pitch, and Strasbourg would do well to capitalise on this opportunity at a ground where the hosts have not enjoyed a strong period of success. That being said, Stephan's side have not dominated many games in recent memory and have developed an affinity for draws on the road, so we can envisage this battle ending all square as Marseille clinch a top-three spot, while Strasbourg will nervously learn of results elsewhere. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
49.05% (1.552 1.55) 25.2% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 25.75% (-1.496 -1.5)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-1.074 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.808 -0.81)50.9% (0.805 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (-0.713 -0.71)72.78% (0.71000000000001 0.71)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.336 0.34)20.77% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (0.529 0.53)53.41% (-0.532 -0.53)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (-1.642 -1.64)34.44% (1.638 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (-1.787 -1.79)71.15% (1.784 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 49.05%
    Strasbourg 25.75%
    Draw 25.19%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.47 0.47)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.458 0.46)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.285 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 49.05%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Marseille
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-3 Marseille
Sunday, May 8 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-0 Feyenoord
Thursday, May 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 Lyon
Sunday, May 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-2 Marseille
Thursday, April 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Reims 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Clermont
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-3 PSG
Friday, April 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 24 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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