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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
M

Lorient
0 - 3
Marseille


Lemoine (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dieng (39'), Guendouzi (48'), Gerson (67')
Saliba (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 0-1 Marseille

Without the effervescent Payet leading the charge, Marseille's chances of a goal-laden showing have taken a major hit, while the midweek fatigue could certainly work against them as well. However, if Lorient are to sacrifice an attacker for a more defensively-minded setup, breaking down the Olympiens backline will be a tall order for Pelissier's side, who may fall just short in Marseille's most winnable game left. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
27.36% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 24.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 48.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)45.16% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)67.5% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.13% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)66.28% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)18.71% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)50.07% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 27.36%
    Marseille 48.53%
    Draw 24.11%
LorientDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.76% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 27.36%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.31% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 48.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Reims
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 5-0 Lorient
Sunday, April 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-0 Metz
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 6-2 St Etienne
Friday, April 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 5-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-0 Feyenoord
Thursday, May 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 Lyon
Sunday, May 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-2 Marseille
Thursday, April 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Reims 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-2 Nantes
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Marseille
Sunday, April 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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