Rennes have the second-best home record in Ligue 1 this season, while Marseille have the strongest away record, so this is a really difficult match to call. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we have a feeling that this game will end all square.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.05) 
