SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 7.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
79.44% ( -0) | 12.57% ( 0) | 7.99% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.72% ( -0.05) | 26.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.42% ( -0.06) | 46.57% ( 0.06) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.84% ( -0.01) | 5.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.54% ( -0.03) | 20.46% ( 0.02) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.28% ( -0.05) | 41.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.81% ( -0.04) | 78.19% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 8.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.92% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.05% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 3.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 5.56% Total : 79.44% | 1-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 12.57% | 1-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 7.99% |
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