Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
