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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
RL

Sunderland
1 - 1
Rotherham

Ihiekwe (88' og.)
Matete (8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ihiekwe (17')
Rathbone (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Rotherham United

Rotherham simply cannot afford another lackadaisical attacking performance on the road lest they leave their automatic promotion hopes in even more jeopardy, and a confidence-boosting win is just what the doctor ordered for the Millers. However, Sunderland's prolific weekend showing and spate of victories at the Stadium of Light arguably sees them enter the game as favourites, and we can only picture the Black Cats all but assuring themselves of a playoff place with a hard-fought triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawRotherham United
46.2%25.85%27.94%
Both teams to score 51.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89%52.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17%73.83%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47%22.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89%56.1%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68%33.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06%69.94%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 46.19%
    Rotherham United 27.94%
    Draw 25.85%
SunderlandDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 46.19%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.25%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 5-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-0 Sunderland
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sunderland 3-2 Shrewsbury
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Sunderland
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Ipswich
Saturday, April 16 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, April 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Charlton
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 4-2 Sutton
Sunday, April 3 at 3pm in EFL Trophy


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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