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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Inter Milan |
26.13% ( 0.56) | 22.27% ( 0.11) | 51.6% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.42% ( 0) | 37.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.18% ( 0) | 59.81% ( -0.01) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( 0.41) | 27.06% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( 0.54) | 62.43% ( -0.54) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( -0.22) | 14.77% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.98% ( -0.42) | 43.01% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.99% Total : 26.13% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.98% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.19% Total : 51.6% |
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