With both teams enduring some difficulty putting the ball in the net, a single goal could decide the outcome of a tightly-contested encounter. Roma have proven to be more effective on the road this season, so can edge out their hosts, who are still struggling for momentum.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.25%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 21.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 0-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.18) 
