SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
42.4% ( 1.35) | 24.09% ( -0.11) | 33.5% ( -1.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.42% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.06% ( 0.21) | 41.93% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.66% ( 0.21) | 64.34% ( -0.22) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( 0.7) | 19.99% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.83% ( 1.12) | 52.16% ( -1.12) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0.61) | 24.49% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.06% ( -0.86) | 58.94% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.03% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.51% |
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