We said: Inter Milan 1-1 Villarreal
Both managers will view this match as extremely valuable ahead of the new season, and we are expecting a very competitive contest on Saturday. Villarreal have been playing some excellent football during pre-season, but Inter are also looking strong ahead of the new campaign, so we have settled on a draw here.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.