Both managers will view this match as extremely valuable ahead of the new season, and we are expecting a very competitive contest on Saturday. Villarreal have been playing some excellent football during pre-season, but Inter are also looking strong ahead of the new campaign, so we have settled on a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Villarreal
52.23% ( 1)	22.95% ( -0.13)	24.81% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 58.32% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.97% (

-0.24)

42.03% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.56% (

-0.24)

64.43% (

0.23)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.85% (

0.27)

16.14% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.41% (

0.49)

45.58% (

-0.49)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.55% (

-0.82)

30.45% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.34% (

-0.98)

66.65% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 52.23%

Villarreal 24.81%

Draw 22.94%

Inter Milan	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.23%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.97% Total : 24.81%