SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
43.68% ( -0.99) | 24.74% ( 0.21) | 31.58% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% ( -0.59) | 45.62% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( -0.56) | 67.94% ( 0.56) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.68) | 20.95% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( -1.08) | 53.69% ( 1.08) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( 0.22) | 27.44% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.07% ( 0.28) | 62.93% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
