Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
35.36% ( -0.74) | 23.83% ( -0.13) | 40.81% ( 0.87) |
Both teams to score 61.85% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% ( 0.5) | 40.28% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.35% ( 0.52) | 62.65% ( -0.51) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% ( -0.16) | 22.69% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.66% ( -0.24) | 56.34% ( 0.24) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.99% ( 0.61) | 20.01% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.8% ( 0.97) | 52.2% ( -0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.07% Total : 40.81% |
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