SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenerbahce | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Galatasaray | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Galatasaray |
51.66% ( 0.05) | 23.78% ( 0.04) | 24.56% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( -0.28) | 45.96% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( -0.26) | 68.27% ( 0.26) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.2% ( -0.08) | 17.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.48% ( -0.15) | 48.52% ( 0.14) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% ( -0.23) | 32.77% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( -0.26) | 69.33% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.56% |
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