Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.1) 
