Having rediscovered some form in recent matches, we feel that this could be a comfortable 90 minutes for PSV. While Graz have the freedom to go all out for victory, an early goal for the home side may derail them in their tracks.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
