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Sunday, April 28
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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Anoeta

Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Sturm Graz

Sorloth (53')
Zubimendi (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jantscher (38')
Wuthrich (58'), Kuen (78'), Siebenhandl (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawSturm Graz
48.14%25.28%26.57%
Both teams to score 52.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32%50.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42%72.58%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93%21.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12%53.88%
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35%33.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7%70.3%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 48.14%
    Sturm Graz 26.57%
    Draw 25.28%
Real SociedadDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 48.14%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.72%
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 26.57%

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