SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.48%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Monaco |
| 29.71% | 22.14% | 48.15% |
| Both teams to score 65.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.78% | 34.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.88% | 56.12% |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% | 22.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.23% | 56.78% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% | 14.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.09% | 42.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% 1-0 @ 4.97% 2-0 @ 3.66% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.38% 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-1 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 5.83% 2-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 3.97% 1-4 @ 2.8% 2-4 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.9% 1-5 @ 1.07% 3-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.15% |
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