SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | AEK Athens |
36.03% ( 0.11) | 24.97% ( -0.01) | 38.99% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% ( 0.07) | 45.57% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( 0.07) | 67.89% ( -0.07) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( 0.09) | 24.75% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( 0.13) | 59.31% ( -0.13) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( -0.02) | 23.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( -0.02) | 57.06% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.03% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.99% |
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