Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
Result | ||
Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | AEK Athens |
31.27% (![]() | 27.49% (![]() | 41.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43% (![]() | 57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.1% (![]() | 77.9% (![]() |
Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% (![]() | 33.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.97% (![]() | 70.03% (![]() |
AEK Athens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% (![]() | 27.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% (![]() | 62.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | AEK Athens |
1-0 @ 9.96% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.27% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.23% |
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