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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | PAOK |
57.51% ( -0.07) | 23.61% ( 0.02) | 18.87% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.31% ( 0.02) | 51.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% ( 0.02) | 73.47% ( -0.02) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( -0.02) | 17.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.56% ( -0.03) | 48.44% ( 0.03) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.41% ( 0.08) | 41.59% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.93% ( 0.07) | 78.07% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 57.51% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.87% |
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