Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
-0.37) 
0.17) 
