Lille have been exceptional when playing in front of their home crowd throughout this season and with Nice having nothing left to play for, we believe the hosts will take the victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
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